Findings

Findings across disasters pool messaging from Core Democratic Officials only — whether each review scores Disaster Mention, Climate Connection, and Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action.

September 5, 2026: four missing disasters were added; obstruction went from 0 to 2. Coding used Cursor and ChatGPT — see How we code.

These findings are based on:

  • 24 disasters
  • 1261 official–disaster reviews

19 of 24 disasters with a completed impact pass 774 deaths $226.3 billion

Deaths and dollars sum each disaster’s latest completed impact pass (six-month or two-year). Five disasters do not yet have a six-month pass, so they are not in these totals. See Methods.

Findings tallies pool messaging from Core Democratic Officials across 24 disasters that met the catalog inclusion criteria. Each count uses only public statements in that disaster's five-day observation window.

Published disasters by year
2023 8 2024 6 2025 5 2026 5

How the denominator works

Disaster Mention, Climate Connection, and Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action are each a share of all official–disaster reviews. A climate or obstruction yes still requires naming this disaster in the window. Full rules: Methods.

Findings across disasters

Findings tallies across published disasters. Open a specific disaster for the full record — impacts, attribution, framing, and sources.

Tallies pool 1261 official–disaster reviews across 24 disasters.

1261 Official–disaster reviews Across 24 disasters
49 3.9% Disaster Mention 49 of 1261 reviews · view evidence
15 1.2% Climate Connection 15 of 1261 reviews · view evidence
2 0.2% Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action 2 of 1261 reviews · view evidence

For what this pattern reflects about the two parties, see Conclusion.

By disaster

Hurricane Lala (August 2026) — Hawaii

Aug 15, 2026 · Hawaii Island (Kau and windward slopes hardest hit); impacts across Maui, Oahu, and Kauai · hurricane · Revised Aug 22, 2026

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
1Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Pacific Northwest Wildfires (July 2026)

Jul 31, 2026 · Oregon and Washington — eastern and central Cascades, Columbia Basin, Okanogan, Prineville, Colville Reservation, and adjacent Idaho interface fires · wildfire · Revised Aug 5, 2026

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Texas Hill Country Flash Floods (July 2026)

Jul 16, 2026 · Texas Hill Country - Kerr (Kerrville, Ingram, Hunt, Center Point, Comfort), Kendall, Uvalde, and Comal counties; Guadalupe & Pedernales rivers · flash flooding · Revised Jul 22, 2026

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Canadian Fire Smoke (July 2026)

Jul 15, 2026 · Midwest, East Coast · Very unhealthy to dangerous air · Revised Jul 22, 2026

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
4Disaster Mention
2Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Eastern U.S. Heat Dome (June–July 2026)

Jun 28, 2026 · Central and eastern United States — Midwest, Ohio Valley, Mid-Atlantic, Northeast; major metros including Chicago, Detroit, St. Louis, Philadelphia, NYC, Boston, DC · extreme heat

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Texas Hill Country Flash Floods (July 2025)

Six months after the disaster 139 deaths $18 billion

Jul 4, 2025 · Texas Hill Country - Kerr (Hunt, Kerrville, Ingram, Center Point), Kendall, Travis, Burnet counties; Guadalupe River (Camp Mystic) · flash flooding · Revised Jan 4, 2026

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
4Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Eastern U.S. Heat Dome (June 2025)

Six months after the disaster 32 deaths Unknown

Jun 22, 2025 · Central and eastern United States — Midwest through Mid-Atlantic and Northeast; I-95 corridor including Washington, Philadelphia, New York, Boston · extreme heat

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Mid-South / Ohio Valley Flooding (April 2025)

Six months after the disaster 24 deaths $4.1 billion

Apr 4, 2025 · Mid-South and Ohio Valley — Kentucky, Arkansas, Tennessee, Missouri, Illinois, Indiana, Ohio, and Mississippi; flash flooding and river flooding after a stalled front · flash flooding

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Eaton Fire (January 2025)

Six months after the disaster 19 deaths $28 billion

Jan 8, 2025 · Altadena and Pasadena foothills — Los Angeles County, California · wildfire · Revised Jul 8, 2025

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
8Disaster Mention
3Climate Connection
1 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Palisades Fire (January 2025)

Six months after the disaster 12 deaths $37 billion

Jan 7, 2025 · Pacific Palisades, Malibu, and Topanga — western Los Angeles County, California · wildfire · Revised Jul 7, 2025

51 / 51Core Democratic Officials reviewed
8Disaster Mention
3Climate Connection
1 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Hurricane Milton (October 2024) — Florida Gulf Coast

Six months after the disaster 39 deaths $34.3 billion

Oct 9, 2024 · Siesta Key, Florida landfall; tornado outbreak, surge, and wind across central and western Florida · hurricane / tornado outbreak · Revised Apr 9, 2025

53 / 53Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Hurricane Helene (September 2024) — Southeast / Southern Appalachians

Six months after the disaster 250 deaths $78.7 billion

Sep 26, 2024 · Florida Big Bend landfall; catastrophic inland flooding across the Southeast and southern Appalachians (esp. western North Carolina) · hurricane / inland flooding · Revised Mar 26, 2025

53 / 53Core Democratic Officials reviewed
5Disaster Mention
1Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Hurricane Francine (September 2024) — Louisiana

Six months after the disaster 0 deaths $1.3 billion

Sep 11, 2024 · Terrebonne Parish, Louisiana landfall; flash flooding, surge, and wind across southeastern Louisiana into Mississippi and Alabama · hurricane · Revised Mar 11, 2025

53 / 53Core Democratic Officials reviewed
1Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Hurricane Beryl (July 2024) — Texas Gulf Coast

Two years after the disaster 48 deaths $7.2 billion

Jul 8, 2024 · Matagorda, Texas landfall; Houston-area wind, surge, and outages; remnant flooding in Vermont July 9–11 · hurricane · Revised Jul 8, 2026

53 / 53Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

South Fork / Salt Fires (June 2024) — Ruidoso

Two years after the disaster 2 deaths $1.8 billion (NCEI, New Mexico wildfires June 2024)

Jun 18, 2024 · Ruidoso, Ruidoso Downs, and the Mescalero Apache Reservation — Lincoln and Otero counties, New Mexico · wildfire

53 / 53Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Smokehouse Creek Fire (February 2024) — Texas Panhandle

Two years after the disaster 2 deaths $123 million

Feb 27, 2024 · Texas Panhandle (Hutchinson, Roberts, and Hemphill counties, including Stinnett, Fritch, and Canadian) into western Oklahoma · wildfire

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Tropical Storm Ophelia (September 2023) — North Carolina / Mid-Atlantic

Two years after the disaster 0 deaths $450 million

Sep 23, 2023 · Eastern North Carolina, landfall near Emerald Isle; rain, wind, and coastal flooding through Virginia, Maryland, and the mid-Atlantic to New Jersey · tropical storm · Revised Sep 3, 2026

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Hurricane Lee (September 2023) — New England

Two years after the disaster 4 deaths $50 million

Sep 16, 2023 · Coastal New England, especially Maine; closest approach ~50 miles from Eastport; landfall in southwestern Nova Scotia as a post-tropical cyclone · hurricane · Revised Sep 3, 2026

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Hurricane Idalia (August 2023) — Florida Big Bend / Georgia

Two years after the disaster 12 deaths $3.6 billion

Aug 30, 2023 · Keaton Beach, Florida Category 3 landfall; major wind, surge, and inland flooding across the Big Bend and southern Georgia · hurricane / inland flooding · Revised Aug 30, 2025

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Lahaina Wildfire (August 2023)

Two years after the disaster 102 deaths $7 billion

Aug 9, 2023 · Lahaina, Maui, Hawaii · wildfire · Revised Aug 9, 2025

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Vermont & Northeast Flash Floods (July 2023)

Two years after the disaster 2 deaths $620 million

Jul 10, 2023 · Catastrophic flash flooding across Vermont; impacts in Upstate New York, western Massachusetts, and New Hampshire · flash flooding · Revised Jul 10, 2025

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
2Disaster Mention
2Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Canadian Wildfire Smoke (June 2023)

Two years after the disaster 86 deaths $2.1 billion

Jun 7, 2023 · Northeast, Mid-Atlantic, Great Lakes, and eastern Midwest — NYC, Philadelphia, DC, Boston, Detroit, Chicago; smoke sourced from Quebec and eastern Canada · wildfire smoke · Revised Jun 7, 2025

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
5Disaster Mention
3Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Fort Lauderdale / South Florida Floods (April 2023)

Two years after the disaster 0 deaths $1.1 billion

Apr 12, 2023 · Fort Lauderdale, Hollywood, Dania Beach, and metro Broward County; impacts across South Florida · flash flooding · Revised Sep 3, 2026

54 / 54Core Democratic Officials reviewed
0Disaster Mention
0Climate Connection
0 Mentioned Republican Obstruction of Climate Action

View disaster record →

Democratic messaging evidence

In-window statements from Core Democratic Officials only — quotable evidence behind the tallies above.

Browse all disasters · Methods · The Divide · Conclusion